GEXI: Major Parties fall in polls

If we have seen any trend in the polls released today then there is a clear trend going on. The major parties have fell, and quite dramatically. The Greens have fallen 7.6% in the polls while the Liberals have fallen 6.8%.

This is explained because of two reasons, the first reason being that the minor parties have been attacking, and quite heavily, the major parties. The Labour Party deputy leader, imnorabbit, called Liberal Shadow Minister Gregor_The_Beggar "the [MP] member for Fiji." While the Kiwi Party has called both the Liberals and the Greens out in an poster designed to attack poor activity this term.

The second reason is simply put, the smaller parties are campaigning much more (in proportion to their polling) than the larger parties. In fact the Liberal Party who is polling double what the Kiwi Party is on, seem to doing the same amount of campaigning. The Labour Party is being heard much more than the Liberals, and despite the Greens doing an okay job, their campaign just isn't as enthusiastic. Labour has managed to successfully used populist phrases to their advantage while #VoteKiwi and #RejectLiberals have been trending on twitter.

Campaigning is not over however, we are only halfway there, the Greens and Liberals can easily overturn this decline. If things go how they are going however, Labour will be far more influential next parliament, and maybe, just maybe, work with the minor parties over the Greens.